Health Forecast & Sick Day Tracker: February 25, 2026

Good morning, parents and caregivers. As we reach the midweek point, we are seeing a significant “viral overlap” across North America. While earlier winter peaks have leveled off, a late-season surge of gastrointestinal and secondary respiratory waves is currently impacting school operations.

### Daily Sick Meter: RED (High Activity) 🔴

Status: National viral activity is currently at a seasonal high. Schools are reporting a sharp increase in Norovirus clusters and Influenza B transmission, leading to localized staffing shortages.

### The “Big Three” Virus Update

• Influenza B (Pediatric Surge): While Influenza A has begun to recede, Influenza B is now the dominant strain in schools. This strain historically hits school-aged children harder and is currently classified with High Pediatric Severity by the CDC.

• Norovirus (Stomach Bug): Outbreaks are spiking in school cafeterias and shared locker spaces. This virus is highly contagious and can live on surfaces for days; remember that hand sanitizer is often ineffective against it—soap and water is the gold standard.

• RSV & Colds: Respiratory Syncytial Virus remains elevated, particularly affecting Pre-K through 2nd-grade classrooms. We are seeing a high rate of secondary “barky” coughs and congestion lingering in younger students.

### School Staffing Alert ⚠️

Risk Level: MODERATE-HIGH

We are tracking a “Staffing Squeeze” in the following areas where high absenteeism among teachers and bus drivers is threatening a shift to Emergency Sick Days or Remote Learning:

• The Midwest: Specifically Missouri and Iowa, where Norovirus has sidelined significant numbers of transportation staff.

• The Southeast: Georgia and the Carolinas are seeing Influenza B clusters impacting faculty attendance.

• Pacific Northwest: Respiratory illness is currently high, leading to “rolling” bus route cancellations in some districts.

### The “Stay or Go” Decision Table

Use this quick guide to determine if your student is ready for the classroom today:

### Regional “Hot Zones”

The highest “Percent Positivity” for school-based illnesses is currently concentrated in:

1. HHS Region 4 (Southeast): High RSV and Flu B activity.

2. HHS Region 7 (Midwest): Peak Norovirus activity.

3. HHS Region 2 (Northeast): Sustained Influenza B transmission.

Pro-Tip for Parents: Check your school’s “Sick Day” attendance policy or parent portal before 8:00 AM. Many districts have updated their 2026 policies to allow “Health-Related Excused Absences” via digital submittal, which can save you a phone call and prevent unexcused marks.